Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000778 0.000888 0.001005 0.001137 0.001283 0.001438 0.001615
2025-02-02 0.000619 0.000774 0.000949 0.001161 0.001408 0.001685 0.002018
2025-02-09 0.000513 0.000684 0.000886 0.001141 0.001449 0.001806 0.002249
2025-02-16 0.000431 0.000610 0.000830 0.001118 0.001478 0.001909 0.002457
2025-02-23 0.000383 0.000570 0.000809 0.001131 0.001545 0.002052 0.002712
2025-03-02 0.000341 0.000533 0.000787 0.001138 0.001602 0.002182 0.002950
2025-03-09 0.000293 0.000481 0.000739 0.001107 0.001605 0.002240 0.003097
2025-03-16 0.000251 0.000435 0.000695 0.001076 0.001603 0.002289 0.003231
2025-03-23 0.000225 0.000407 0.000673 0.001073 0.001638 0.002386 0.003428
2025-03-30 0.000202 0.000383 0.000654 0.001072 0.001674 0.002483 0.003624
2025-04-06 0.000180 0.000356 0.000630 0.001061 0.001694 0.002558 0.003792
2025-04-13 0.000158 0.000328 0.000601 0.001040 0.001698 0.002609 0.003928
2025-04-20 0.000147 0.000319 0.000600 0.001063 0.001765 0.002752 0.004195
2025-04-27 0.000137 0.000308 0.000597 0.001081 0.001827 0.002889 0.004456
2025-05-04 0.000121 0.000285 0.000572 0.001063 0.001834 0.002946 0.004606
2025-05-11 0.000106 0.000263 0.000545 0.001041 0.001833 0.002991 0.004740
2025-05-18 0.000098 0.000253 0.000540 0.001053 0.001885 0.003113 0.004985
2025-05-25 0.000090 0.000243 0.000533 0.001060 0.001928 0.003223 0.005213
2025-06-01 0.000078 0.000222 0.000504 0.001031 0.001912 0.003244 0.005313
2025-06-08 0.000067 0.000202 0.000477 0.001001 0.001892 0.003259 0.005404
2025-06-15 0.000060 0.000192 0.000466 0.000999 0.001918 0.003342 0.005595
2025-06-22 0.000055 0.000183 0.000456 0.000998 0.001945 0.003428 0.005792
2025-06-29 0.000049 0.000171 0.000441 0.000987 0.001956 0.003488 0.005950